Pittman had 60 more than any other Colts player in 2021. We do not officially know who the quarterback will be, but with Pete Carmichael staying as offensive coordinator, Thomas still has a play-caller that understands where he excels. By Aaron Wilson August 8, 2022 Jump Around This Article Click to show Heading to Green Bay, Chrisitan Watson checks a lot of boxes in terms of size, athleticism, strong quarterback play, and opportunity, all things he needs to overcome an unflattering list of recent non-early-declare, non-Power 5 wideouts selected in the second round. My prospect model loved him coming out of college. On return, he managed to top those 72 yards in the opener in just one of his nine games while failing to score a touchdown. Collins (foot) was placed on the reserve/injured list Friday. Moore ended the year with 54 catches for 435 yards and one touchdown. DeAndre Hopkins (30.2) Godwin tore his ACL back on December 19th, placing his early-season availability in jeopardy. Kupp also did not completely come out of nowhere in terms of performing at a WR1 level, as we have the front half of the 2019 season to draw back on for the upside he had in his range of outcomes. My projections for Nico Collins are he gets 102 targets, 63 receptions, 869 yards, six touchdowns, and averages 10.9 PPR PPG. had this past year. Williams started off the season looking as if he would be the crown jewel of fantasy drafts before slowly reverting to his boom-or-bust nature as the season progressed, but he did finally flash that ceiling many believed existed. Smith-Schuster will still only be 26 years old this November, leaving a passing game that regenerate downfield usage. A veteran starter that can accrue points immediately based on where a current roster is and other times chasing more youth and upside for the future. His EPA per dropback on those throws (0.91) is second behind Justin Herbert. Tyler Lockett has consistently found a path to strong final-season numbers, posting another 1,175 yards and eight touchdowns on 73 catches. When the playoffs arrive, Warren Sharps betting recommendations become even more profitable. Kenny Golladays first season with the Giants was an outright disaster, catching 37-of-76 targets for 521 yards and zero touchdowns. After jumping to WR22 in points per game in 2020. reached WR9 in that department in his third season, catching 107 passes for 1,161 yards and eight touchdowns. Despite ranking ninth in target share (24.8%), Pittman was 18th in targets per game (7.6), having six or fewer targets in eight games. No wide receiver has had a season like the one. No wide receiver has had a season like the one Deebo Samuel had this past year. Collins likely won't take the league by storm in 2022, but there's still reason to believe he can take a sizable step forward. The first and obvious pro is that Thomas remained a target magnet. He finds himself in the same position entering 2022 as he looks to sign with his next team coming off of a huge bounce-back season for the former 3rd round pick out of the 2017 draft. Improvement from Zach Wilson can lift the tide for Davis, who has been the WR32 and WR36 the past two seasons on a per-game basis, but the emergence of Elijah Moore is another potential roadblock in getting to Davis as a consistent fantasy play. After receiving over 25% of the Buffalo targets in each of his first two seasons with the Bills, Diggs is a strong bet to once again be peppered with opportunity in 2022 attached to Josh Allen. Amari Cooper (28.2) It finally looked as if we were going to have our. Gage just turned 26 years old this past January. Dallas has yet to really settle on a role for Lamb but has primarily played him out of the slot to open his career when they have a full roster at their disposal. That drop-off is a signal that Brown is not the type of wideout that can overcome and elevate a poor offense, but this move also pairs him with a quarterback that can has shown massive success downfield to start his career. 950 yards. Justin Jefferson followed up an 88-1,400-7 rookie season in which he was the WR9 in points per game (17.1) to post 108-1,616-10 this past season as the WR4 in points per game (19.4). But when the Bucs lost Antonio Brown and Chris Godwin, we saw early-career Evans return with the Bucs forced to lean on him, seeing 10 and 16 targets in the postseason versus Jalen Ramsey and Darius Slay, showing that there is plenty of ability there when he is tasked with carrying a passing game, having games of 9-117-1 and 8-119-1. Treylon Burks (22.5) Godwin will get another season with Tom Brady, but will also be coming off an ACL injury that ended his season in mid-December, pushing his recovery up against the start of the 2022 season. Only four players have caught more receiving touchdowns than DK Metcalfs 29 since he entered the league and only three caught more than his 12 scores in 2021, but Metcalf saw a significant dip in other areas last season, dropping from 5.2 receptions per game down to 4.4 while his 81.4 yards per game in 2020 sagged down to 56.9 yards per game last season. Drake London (21.1) Shi Smith (23.8) Christian Kirk is building a solid career, but for fantasy, he has finished as the WR53, WR32, WR55, and WR34 in points per game. Then, he went on an all-time heater, catching 51 passes for 560 yards and five touchdowns (with a rushing score) over his final six games, posting five top-10 scoring weeks over that span. Chark when the team forced him to play outside, but then was clearly outplayed by Laquon Treadwell to close the season when he went back inside. Van Jefferson increased his output and production up to a 50-802-6 line in his second season as the Rams were pressed to get him on the field more than initially planned with the release of DeSean Jackson and injury to Robert Woods. His season was limited to just 196 routes run, but Toney was targeted on 27.0% of those routes, a mark only bested by Antonio Brown, Cooper Kupp, Davante Adams, and A.J. Securing day two draft investment, David Bell keeps hope alive for the wishful comparisons to Keenan Allen and Jarvis Landry as productive wideouts with bottom-rung measurables while avoiding what happened to Tylan Wallace and Tyler Johnson the previous two seasons. He has 97 or more receptions in each of his past five seasons. This tier of wideouts has shown the capability to be premier WR1 options on a weekly basis over the start of their careers but have yet to put together that full fantasy campaign wire-to-wire just yet. The Colts will surely make additions to the passing game this season while still primarily running the offense through Jonathan Taylor to compromise a year-three target spike. Michael Gallup is the perfect buy low right now . With Jackson under center, Brown caught 67.3% of his targets for 12.7 yards per catch, 8.5 yards per target, and averaged 2.03 yards per route run compared to catching 52.1% of his targets for 6.8 yards per catch, 3.6 yards per target and 0.80 yards per route. Just 17.5% of Thomass career targets have come from passers other than Brees, but Thomas has remained a hyper-efficient target no matter who the quarterback has been. After opening the 2020 season with 90 or more yards in seven of his first eight games, Metcalf has hit that arbitrary mark in just four of 25 games since. averaged 9.1 yards per catch and 5.4 yards per target when he last played. All of that resulted in a tailspin that ended with 38 catches for 410 yards and one touchdown over 12 games. . Gage also can get an early season bump with the timing of Chris Godwins injury. Meyers accounted for 23.6% of the Patriot targets, something that will be put in jeopardy if they ever add a significant playmaker for Mac Jones. If you are not in a full-PPR league, you can prioritize this archetype over the previous group while this group has more options that can get by on inefficiency and spike touchdown seasons. His college production is even worse than Collins - including a 50% catch rate or worse in 3 of 4 seasons. Prior to injury, Woods was a slow starter playing alongside the scorching hot run Cooper Kupp began on, which never slowed down. Tyler Boyd (27.8) There is not much any of these players can do to increase their value moving forward, but they arent completely dead yet, either. is a hot name in early offseason drafts with his potential to be a big winner should the Chargers not retain Mike Williams. Prior to injury, we were getting more of the 2020 version of JuJu as he was averaging just 8.6 yards per catch and a paltry 4.6 yards per target. Yes, there are some concerns. It is worth noting how touchdown-heavy Evans has been during the Tom Brady years. Mike Strachan (25.1) Jameson Williams (21.5). Cole Beasley (33.3) DeVonta Smith (23.8) Stefon Diggs (28.8). 31.4% and 32% of Evanss points the past two years have come via touchdowns (a mark that was 16.9% the previous five seasons before Brady) while he received just 6.8 and 7.1 targets per game, the two lowest totals of his career. From that point on, Moore found the end zone just one more time, still leaving him with four or fewer touchdowns in each of his first four seasons. Just seven of his 64 targets came on throws over 10 yards downfield while 41 came at or behind the line scrimmage. Curtis Samuel (26.1) Braxton Berrios (26.9) Tym razem dolnolskie targi tatuau odbd si w Hali Stulecia. Dyami Brown (22.8) Just 17.5% of Thomass career targets have come from passers other than Brees, but Thomas has remained a hyper-efficient target no matter who the quarterback has been. Brown teased us once again with the upside he holds in 2021. After a 61-631-4 season as a rookie on 98 targets, Mooney caught 81-of-140 targets for 1,055 yards and four touchdowns this past season and closed as the WR31 in points per game for fantasy. Schematically, Woods is one of the best run blocking wide receivers in the NFL, if not the best, which was surely appealing to the Titans as a fit in their offense. The positive spin is Golladay averaged 9.1 yards per target from Daniel Jones compared to 4.3 yards per target from the vagabonds they played when Jones was absent. He averaged 17.7 points per game over his final seven games while finishing as a WR3 or better in all but one of those games with three WR1 scoring weeks. Some real quick methodology here. fought through an injury-filled rookie campaign in which he missed six games, but there were some flashpoints where we saw the ceiling potential for Moore. Cooks and Mills connected on 71.1% of their targets with five touchdowns and a 101.6 rating while Cooks and Tyrod Taylor connected on 58.3% with one score and an 83.0 rating. Lockett was the leagues best deep-ball specialist last season, scoring a league-high 133.3 fantasy points on throws 15 yards or further downfield. He also was banged up, but an early-season suspension and the addition of Marquise Brown cloud Hopkins short-term outlook while pushing him closer to that apex age cliff. Michael Gallup (26.4) From a silver lining stance, Cooper still tied for the team-lead with eight touchdown receptions. Not only did it already exist last season but given the Bears roster and not having a first-round pick in the draft, Mooney could be looking at being the de facto WR1 for at least another season. Team W L T PCT PF PA; Jacksonville: 9: 8: 0.529: 404: 350 . After opening the 2020 season with 90 or more yards in seven of his first eight games, Metcalf has hit that arbitrary mark in just four of 25 games since. Featured Promo: Get any full-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off and win big in 2023. . Godwin will get another season with Tom Brady, but will also be coming off an ACL injury that ended his season in mid-December, pushing his recovery up against the start of the 2022 season. Then, he went on an all-time heater, catching 51 passes for 560 yards and five touchdowns (with a rushing score) over his final six games, posting five top-10 scoring weeks over that span. After being a near the line of scrimmage receiver in college, Moore managed a laughable depth of target of just 1.2 yards as a rookie. first season with the Giants was an outright disaster, catching 37-of-76 targets for 521 yards and zero touchdowns. Smith cleared six targets in a game just six times as rookie, posting nine weeks as the WR52 or lower as a byproduct. Back to some youth and upside, we are still trying to figure out what we have in this tier of young wideouts. just continues to get there every season. Kadarius Toney (23.6) Renfrows opportunity was maximized by Darren Waller missing six games, the midseason loss of Henry Ruggs, and the failure of Bryan Edwards to make a second-year leap. 32.6% of his PPR points came via touchdown production alone, the highest rate in his career and just the second time he has been over 20%. The 2021 season was an outright disaster for. Lifetime NFL playoffs record: 153-93 (62%) Chris Olave (22.2) The glass half empty case is that the Lions were stripped down primary playmakers in T.J. Hockenson and DAndre Swift for the chunk of the breakout while the team is surely not done adding more pass catchers this offseason and that six-game heater goes down as a fantasy tale we highlight as the best run of St. Browns career. Samuel is still 26 years old and turned in WR36 and WR24 the previous two seasons while he will get a ton of steam from the community this season for those pursuing any potential of finding another Deebo at the position for fantasy after he led all wide receivers in touches in 2020 despite Scott Turner not fully utilizing Samuel as a dual-option during his time in Carolina. But the upside remains intact with the addition of Russell Wilson to recapture his offseason value from last year. Joining the Browns, Cooper is set up to be a lead wide receiver while the Browns also just acquired Deshaun Watson. The next quarterback remains to be determined in Pittsburgh, but there is a non-zero outcome where Johnson can still improve in terms of target quality. Finishing the season as the RB5, Conner ended the year with 18 total TDs and averaged 14.7 fantasy PPG. Mike Woods (22.5) 3 wide receiver job, and that role could have under-appreciated value given that the Texans don't have a proven tight end and Cooks and Cobbs are perpetual injury concerns. Our next tier has veteran wideouts with meat left on the bone of their careers, do not carry the same WR1 cache as the previous tier, but offer the ability to run hot in stretches and deliver spike weeks that can tilt weeks for gamers. Deebo Samuel (26.6) Parker still commanded a respectable 7.3 targets per game (30th) to provide a floor when on the field, a total he can hit moving to New England. There is still a lot of unknown surrounding, after he left the Falcons after appearing in five games this past season due to mental health issues and potentially not wanting to be a part of the team in the first place while he been suspended for the entire 2022 season due to gambling on games while away from the team. Over the time Mahomes has been under center, Hill and Kelce have combined to account for 44.1% of the team receptions, 48.8% of the receiving yardage, and 52.3% of the receiving touchdowns. Jahan Dotson (22.8) The Chiefs also have been looking for a third wheel in the offense behind Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill. DeVante Parker (29.6) Before Tyreek Hill was the Cheetah, he was a fifth-round pick in the NFL Draft and . In a year where the WR rookie class made headlines, Collins flew under the radar and quietly flashed with 33 receptions and 446 yards. By Ian Wharton August 26, 2022 Jump around this article Click to show during the draft last year, but absolutely nothing went right for him over the past year to invoke confidence moving forward outside of hope. Michael Thomas has appeared in just seven games the past two seasons while missing all of 2021, leaving him as an out-of-sight, out-of-mind fantasy entity while he will be coming back to a team without Drew Brees or Sean Payton. Jaylen Waddle set a new record for receptions in a season (104) by a rookie while being asked to operate as a near the line of scrimmage asset due to the position the Miami offense was forced into due to their offensive line and surrounding playmakers. and all he has done is produce when called upon over his first two seasons in the league. flashed that he can definitely still play with the Rams, but a torn ACL in the Super Bowl will impact his free agency and potentially push back his availability in 2022. Our Hail Mary dart throws to sell yourself on making a deep swing. Dynasty Buy Lows Before the Trade Deadline. Now with Brown leaving 146 targets (24.7%) on the table with the depth here severely lacking for the Ravens, Bateman has a runway to vault up to a fantasy WR2. Wed, 27 Apr 2022 16:22:06 +0000 View Detailed Check-in 3 Maciej Chwaliski is drinking a Looks Like Aldebaran Whiskey by Magic Road at Beer Geek Madness | SPACE RACE 2022 potentially bouncing back as he appeared in just five games due to a shoulder injury. These players may never be the top-scorer at their position in a given season but have strong floors with plenty of upside of their own to produce multiple WR1 scoring seasons. He found the end zone a total of 16 times, with just three coming from inside of 10 yards. Rondale Moore did not do anything to alleviate the concerns we had for him transitioning to the NFL, even in an offense that was suited to get the most out of him. Higgins is the first wide receiver here that is clearly not the best wide receiver on his own team, but after Higgins returned from injury in Week 5, he posted an 82-1,282-6 line on 125 targets over his final 16 games played with JaMarr Chase while Chase notched 87-1,500-10 on 134 targets. Evans could find himself once again asked to do significant lifting for Tampa Bay in 2021 with Brown already gone, Chris Godwins status to be determined, and Rob Gronkowski a question mark that we believe is doubtful to return. Marquise Brown (25.2) That player was Zach Pascal, who is no longer with the team while veteran T.Y. Brown in 2021. Coming off an up-and-down 2021, Hill has shown he elevates all quarterbacks that he plays with, but also will have an offensive climate that was not entirely as strong as the one he is leaving behind in Kansas City. Allen Lazard is the most intriguing option here based on everything that has fallen this offseason in Green Bay. There was no outlook written for Nico Collins in 2022. to develop as a 1B type of a wideout but are once again stunted in that development after he played in just nine games in 2021, while suffering a torn ACL in early January as he hits free agency. For context, Cooks is currently the WR20 with an ADP of 52. Although Nico Collins will require some patience, the wait will be worth it as he could be the guy in 2022 for the Texans. Jakobi Meyers (25.8) If you are new to how I do tiers, I make my dynasty tiers based on a blend of age, fantasy performance, career arc, team situation, and fantasy archetype. Renfrows opportunity was maximized by Darren Waller missing six games, the midseason loss of Henry Ruggs, and the failure of Bryan Edwards to make a second-year leap. felt the sting of no longer being in contention for the top receiver on his team in 2021, clearly falling behind both JaMarr Chase and Tee Higgins as an ancillary option in the passing game. Toney was only able to appear in 10 games due to various injuries and managed more than 40 yards in just two games, but in the small sample of him receiving playing time while healthy, he jumped off the screen at his best. Improvement from Zach Wilson can lift the tide for Davis, who has been the WR32 and WR36 the past two seasons on a per-game basis, but the emergence of Elijah Moore is another potential roadblock in getting to Davis as a consistent fantasy play. Toney was pressed into action due to injuries in Week 4, where he caught 6-of-7 targets for 78 yards, forcing five missed tackles. In the three games that Palmer got on the field for 60% or more of the snaps as a rookie, he posted games of 5-66-1 (seven targets), 5-43-1 (six targets), and 4-45-1 (nine targets). also had a lost season in 2021, playing just 65 snaps, due to a finger injury that was still an issue earlier this month. There will surely be a lot of conversation around DeAndre Hopkins this offseason and what to do with him. My prospect model loved him coming out of college and all he has done is produce when called upon over his first two seasons in the league. After 11 trips to the paint in 2020, Claypool scored just two times last season. A.J. Our next tier of rookie wideouts that carry more hope than the remaining veterans available at the position. Darnell Mooney (24.8) Seemingly disgruntled with the organization for the outset of the season, his effort was questioned, while he also dealt with ankle, hamstring, and COVID issues during the season to go along with subpar quarterback play. racked up 126 targets as the de facto WR1 in New England, catching 83 passes for 866 yards and two touchdowns. In the 11 games that Waller played in full, Renfrow reached 60 yards just twice. Nearly all of these veterans are attached to strong offensive climates and above average quarterback play. DWayne Eskridge (25.4) Sharp Football Analysis, LLC does not endorse, recommend or support illegal betting or gambling under any circumstances. received 120 targets last year (23rd), but how static will that remain since he was not brought in by this regime? The concerns about Moores quarterback this season and surrounding offense once again exist, but he will still only be 25-years-old to open up 2022 with 1,200 yards in each of the past three seasons. Anyone on or off Facebook. Hopkins missed seven games in 2021 and while on the field, he averaged 4.2 receptions and 57.2 yards per game, by far his lowest totals per game since 2016. was unable to survive the offensive climate in Carolina last season. I am more on the pro-side of the coin for Gabriel Davis, who is going to be a hot button this offseason. Allen Lazard (26.7) Although their draft profiles still paint them as having an uphill battle big picture, there has been some flashes along the way that have them as intriguing players still in many circles, especially at their current cost. Business Unit Manager - Advanced Structures. Marquez Callaway (24.4). The point of no return for alpha wideouts has historically been age 32. Osborn chipped in a productive season in his second year in the league, catching 50 passes for 655 yards and seven touchdowns. While Aiyuk got back to showcasing a solid floor, we still have to question if he is limited short term by being the third-best pass catcher on a low-volume passing game that can spike when either Deebo Samuel or George Kittle miss time. Jaelon Darden (23.6) Fantasy football sleepers for 2022: Deep sleepers include Nico Collins, Sony Michel, and others Fantasy football managers are constantly looking for sleepers to target later in drafts. Brown was averaging 17.4 points per game through 10 games and then limped to the finish line with 8.8 points per game afterwards. this year as he was in Kyle Shanahans doghouse for the opening several weeks of the season. 79.7% of the Rams offensive touchdowns in 2021 were passing touchdowns, the highest rate in the league. This thread is archived Julio Jones still averaged 14.0 yards per catch, 9.0 yards per target, and was 25th in yards per route run (1.84), so he can still play. Michael Pittman (24.9) K.J. A.J. Here are four fantasy football sleepers who could bolster your team. Quarterback play could be another issue in Detroit paired with Jared Goff, especially where Chark has shown the best of his ability, which is downfield. Brown (25.2) Diggs also managed a career-high 10 touchdowns while averaging 9.7 targets per game (seventh). Turned 26 years old this past January Shanahans doghouse for the opening weeks. 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